UFC returns to Mexico City this Saturday! Arena CDMX will host UFC Mexico City, featuring a flyweight main event between Brandon Moreno, former two-time champion, and Steve Erceg, a former title challenger. Before the main event, there are 12 more exciting fights. Let`s explore the best betting opportunities for this weekend.
Kelvin Gastelum (+240)
Kelvin Gastelum will face Joe Pyfer in a featured main card fight. The betting odds for Gastelum have significantly shifted, starting higher at +400 earlier in the week. Despite the change, Gastelum at +240 remains a valuable underdog. Pyfer was considered a rising star until facing Jack Hermansson, revealing areas for improvement. Gastelum, known for his resilience and relentless pressure, is a tough opponent for Pyfer. Gastelum`s strong chin and persistence make him a worthwhile bet at these odds.
Brandon Moreno to Win & Round 2 to Start (-185)
This bet offers slightly better odds than betting on Moreno to win outright at -250. Moreno is highly favored to defeat Erceg due to his superior and more diverse fighting skills. While Erceg has strong boxing, his wrestling defense is a weakness. Moreno possesses a more varied striking game and a durable chin. It`s anticipated that Moreno`s diverse skillset will be too much for Erceg. While a submission victory is possible, this bet is placed on Moreno winning, with the fight reaching the second round. Moreno has only two first-round finishes in the UFC, none since 2020.
Raul Rosas Jr. by Points (+105)
Raul Rosas Jr. is heavily favored against Vince Morales, primarily due to Rosas Jr.`s talent and the UFC`s support. Rosas Jr. is expected to utilize his takedown and grappling skills to secure a win. However, Morales has not been submitted since 2018 and has shown durability against strong opponents. This suggests the fight is likely to go to a decision, making a bet on Rosas Jr. winning by points appealing.
Loopy Godinez by Points (-155)
Loopy Godinez is fighting Julia Polastri on the prelims and is expected to win. Despite recent losses to top fighters Virna Jandiroba and Mackenzie Dern, Godinez remains a strong competitor. Polastri`s recent win was a split decision against Cory McKenna. Godinez`s pressure and grappling ability should be too much for Polastri. However, Godinez is not known for finishes, indicating this fight is likely to be decided by the judges` scorecards.
David Martinez (-400)
David Martinez will make his UFC debut against Saimon Oliveira. This is seen as a favorable matchup for Martinez. Oliveira has a 0-2 UFC record and has been inactive for two years. Martinez, a former Combate champion, is considered a polished and UFC-ready fighter. This fight is expected to showcase Martinez`s skills.
Ateba Gautier (-430)
Ateba Gautier also debuts in the UFC against Jose Daniel Medina. Similar to Martinez, this is a favorable debut matchup for Gautier. Gautier is described as a physically gifted fighter, compared to Melvin Manhoef, and while needing development, Medina is an appropriate opponent for his debut, providing experience without posing a significant threat.
Parlay: David Martinez & Ateba Gautier to Win (-185)
Combining these two bets into a parlay offers odds of -185.
After a successful weekend with UFC London, let`s hope for continued success with UFC Mexico.
Enjoy the fights and good luck!
Wesley Dunham 
Marcus Blakely